Ruling conservatives win most seats in Croatia election, but no majority

The Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) won 59 seats in the 151-member assembly, according to the poll by Ipsos agency – Copyright AFP Damir SENCAR

Lajla VESELICA

Croatia’s ruling conservative party won the most seats in a parliamentary election Wednesday but not enough to form a government, according to almost complete official results, with tough talks ahead to gather a majority.

Incumbent Prime Minister Andrej Plenkovic’s Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) won 60 seats in the 151-member assembly, results from more than 90 percent of the polling stations showed. In the previous 2020 vote, the party won 66 seats.

A centre-left coalition led by the Social Democrats (SDP) won 42. 

“The HDZ has for the third (consecutive) time convincingly won a parliamentary election,” Plenkovic told his supporters in Zagreb early Thursday.

The party will start gathering a new parliamentary majority to form its government on Thursday morning, he said.

SDP leader Pedja Grbin admitted that the results were not what the party wished for, but said they “showed that… people want a change”.

“It’s not over,” he said at the party headquarters in Zagreb, announcing that talks on a possible post-election coalition would start Thursday.

The nationalist right-wing Homeland Movement party came third, with 14 seats.

Analysts estimate it has a big negotiating potential, which could make it a kingmaker in forming a new government.

An ultra-conservative and a green-left party won 11 and 10 seats each.

“It will be a very difficult negotiating process” to form a new government, political analyst Tihomir Cipek told Nova TV.

– High turnout –

Turnout was 60 percent, compared with 47 percent during the 2020 vote.

The elections were held after a bitter campaign between Plenkovic and left-wing populist President Zoran Milanovic, who campaigned despite a court warning.

The showdown came as the European Union nation wrestles with corruption, a labour shortage, the highest inflation rate in the eurozone and undocumented migration.

For months, Plenkovic and his HDZ seemed poised for an easy victory that would secure his third term as premier.

But in mid-March, Milanovic — who tops political popularity surveys — made the shock announcement that he would challenge Plenkovic and become candidate for the Social Democrats.

The Croatian presidency is a largely ceremonial office for a person without a political affiliation.

Calling Plenkovic the “godfather of crime”, Milanovic, 57, highlighted the recent appointment of the country’s new chief prosecutor, a judge with alleged ties to corruption suspects.

Corruption has long been the Achilles’ heel of the HDZ.

Several of Plenkovic’s ministers have stepped down following accusations and the anti-graft fight was key to Croatia’s bid to join the EU in 2013.

– ‘Pro-Russian’ –

Milanovic canvassed across Croatia despite the country’s top court ruling that he could only stand in the election if he stepped down as president first.

Plenkovic — who has served as premier since 2016 — accused his rival of violating the constitution, engaging in hate speech and called him a “coward” for not resigning.

The prime minister stressed his role in guiding the country of 3.8 million people into the eurozone and Europe’s passport-free Schengen area last year.

But with an average monthly wage of 1,240 euros ($1,345), the country remains one of the EU’s poorest.

“The global security situation has never been more tense and more dangerous … so we need to have very responsible people running Croatia in the next four years,” Plenkovic, 54, said after voting in Zagreb.

Plenkovic has repeatedly accused Milanovic of being “pro-Russian” due to his criticism of EU backing for Ukraine against Moscow’s invasion and the president’s opposition to training Ukrainian soldiers in Croatia, which is a NATO member.

Milanovic, who has condemned Russia’s campaign in Ukraine, has argued that he was protecting Croatian interests by preventing the country from being “dragged into war”.

The HDZ has ruled Croatia for most of the period since its independence from Yugoslavia in 1991, while the SDP has been the opposition mainstay.

Milanovic, who served as prime minister from 2011 to 2016, is known for his fiery rhetoric and profanity in tirades against HDZ opponents, EU officials and his critics.

His mandate expires in January, but he said he would step down if the SDP and its allies secure a majority to form a new government.